The upcoming 2023 Egg Bowl is on the horizon, set to ignite Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Miss., as the clash between the Mississippi State Bulldogs and the Ole Miss Rebels unfolds on Thanksgiving night. With a 5-6 overall record and a 1-6 standing in the SEC, the Bulldogs are eyeing their sixth win, a pivotal milestone for their bowl eligibility. Despite this, a loss might not entirely shatter their hopes, leaving a door open for a bowl invitation under specific circumstances where there’s a shortage of six-win teams. On the flip side, the Rebels (9-2, 5-2) are gunning for only the second 10-win regular season in their program’s history while aiming to secure a coveted spot in a New Year’s Day bowl game.
The kickoff is slated for 7:30 p.m. ET, with the Rebels holding 10-point favoritism, as per the latest Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State odds via SportsLine consensus. Projections hint at a total of 54 points scored. To gain insights into predictions and betting strategies, SportsLine’s dependable computer model offers thorough analysis.
This computer model boasts a track record of simulating every FBS college football game a whopping 10,000 times, consistently yielding reliable results. Its top-rated college football picks against the spread have raked in over $2,000 in profit for $100 players. The model’s predictions for Ole Miss vs. Mississippi State can be explored on SportsLine for a comprehensive overview. Here are the significant trends and odds for the matchup:
Sophomore Quinshon Judkins has etched his name in program history as an outstanding running back. Despite a career spanning only 24 games, his stats place him second in Ole Miss history for rushing touchdowns (30), third in all-purpose touchdowns (32), and fifth in rushing yards (2,500). He’s on the cusp of joining an exclusive club as the second Ole Miss player since 1950 to surpass 1,000 rushing yards in a season twice, a mere 67 rushing yards away.
Analyzing the game’s dynamics, the Ole Miss offense faces off against a Mississippi State defense that has grappled in the red zone throughout the season, ranking a concerning 116th in the country, conceding scores on 91.2% of drives in this area. This statistic might favor an Ole Miss team placed 48th in the nation in red zone offense (86.8%).
Senior linebacker Nathaniel Watson shines as a relentless defensive playmaker for Mississippi State. His remarkable performance includes ranking second in the conference for tackles with 116. In the recent 41-20 victory over Southern Miss, Watson soared with a career-high 21 tackles, a feat unmatched by an SEC defender since 2017. His contributions also encompassed a forced fumble and his 10th sack of the season.
Moreover, Watson and the rest of the Mississippi State defense brace to challenge an Ole Miss offense that has grappled with defensive penetration this season, ranking a concerning 114th in the country in tackles for loss allowed per game (7.18).
According to SportsLine’s model analysis, a combined total of 54 points is anticipated, leaning towards the Under for the point total. Furthermore, the model suggests that one side of the spread hits over 60% of the time. For comprehensive CFB picks from the model, they’re accessible on SportsLine, offering deeper insights.
Summary
In a clash filled with anticipation, the 2023 Egg Bowl promises a showdown between Mississippi State and Ole Miss, setting the stage for a battle for bowl eligibility and football glory. With pivotal players, intense dynamics, and SportsLine’s insights, this Thanksgiving night game is primed for an exciting chapter in college football.
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